China resilience analysis
China ranks #70 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 55.3 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 62.6, with recovery capacity next at 63.8. Live shock exposure is strongest at 77.4, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 53.3. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +0 points. Dimension coverage is 81%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 62.6; coverage 93%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 63.8; coverage 75%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 77.4; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Social and governance: 53.3; weight 19%; low Information environment 28; high Border security 86.
- Recovery capacity: 63.8; weight 25%; low Sovereign fiscal buffer 3; high Liquid-reserve adequacy 99.
- Economic capacity: 72.3; weight 17%; low Financial-system exposure 56; high Currency and external balance 100.
- Infrastructure: 75.1; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 48; high Cyber and digital capacity 86.
- Health, food and water: 76.5; weight 13%; low Food and water security 76; high Health and public services 77.
- Energy security: 81; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 81.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | 3 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 28 | 70% | Stale |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 32 | 80% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 36 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 45 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 48 | 50% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 55 | 100% | Stale |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 56 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 57 | 100% | Stale |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 60 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 66 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 76 | 82% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 77 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 79 | 70% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 81 | 90% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 83 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 86 | 100% | Stale |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 86 | 100% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 92 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 99 | 100% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 100 | 85% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Suriname (55.6), Moldova (55.3), Nicaragua (55.8), Belarus (55.2). Comparisons in East Asia and the Pacific: Timor-Leste (55.2), Fiji (55.9), Philippines (54.6), Hong Kong (54.2), Vanuatu (54.1). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
China is outside the fixed coverage of the 4 crawlable crisis trackers. This marks a registry boundary, not an absence of risk.
Reading limits
August 29, 2026; method pillar-combined-penalized-v1. Top domain: Energy security, 81. Weak pillars reduce the result; compare with coverage and imputation visible.
Questions about China
What is China's Country Instability Index?
China's Country Instability Index is 48/100 (Normal), down 6 points over approximately 24 hours, as of Sep 3, 2026, 6:20 AM UTC.
What is China's resilience score?
China scores 55.3 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #70 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for China?
Structural readiness is lowest at 62.6, followed by Recovery capacity at 63.8. Their evidence coverage is 93% and 75%.
Is China's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +0 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.