Ethiopia resilience analysis
Ethiopia ranks #159 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 37.2 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 48.8, with live shock exposure next at 48.8. Recovery capacity is strongest at 53.6, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 22.5. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.6 points. Dimension coverage is 82%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 48.8; coverage 87%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Live shock exposure: 48.8; coverage 97%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Recovery capacity: 53.6; coverage 58%; domains Recovery capacity.
Six-domain profile
- Health, food and water: 22.5; weight 13%; low Health and public services 18; high Food and water security 27.
- Social and governance: 40.4; weight 19%; low Education capacity 7; high Information environment 60.
- Infrastructure: 49.7; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 27; high Cyber and digital capacity 89.
- Recovery capacity: 53.6; weight 25%; low Liquid-reserve adequacy 7; high External-debt coverage 95.
- Economic capacity: 58.5; weight 17%; low Macro-fiscal position 44; high Trade policy resilience 100.
- Energy security: 82; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 82.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 7 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 7 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 17 | 100% | Stale |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 18 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 27 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 27 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 30 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 33 | 100% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 39 | 92% | Stale |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 44 | 80% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 49 | 85% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 49 | 65% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 56 | 76% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 58 | 100% | Stale |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 60 | 55% | Stale |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 75 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 82 | 90% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 89 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 95 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Central African Republic (37.8), Burkina Faso (36.5), DR Congo (38.2), Chad (35.7). Comparisons in sub-Saharan Africa: Central African Republic (37.8), Eritrea, Burkina Faso (36.5), DR Congo (38.2), Zimbabwe (38.3). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Ethiopia is outside the fixed coverage of the 4 crawlable crisis trackers. This marks a registry boundary, not an absence of risk.
Reading limits
August 29, 2026; method pillar-combined-penalized-v1. Top domain: Energy security, 82. Weak pillars reduce the result; compare with coverage and imputation visible.
Questions about Ethiopia
What is Ethiopia's resilience score?
Ethiopia scores 37.2 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #159 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Ethiopia?
Structural readiness is lowest at 48.8, followed by Live shock exposure at 48.8. Their evidence coverage is 87% and 97%.
Is Ethiopia's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.6 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.