Nepal resilience analysis
Nepal ranks #107 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 49.9 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 55.4, with recovery capacity next at 61.6. Live shock exposure is strongest at 76.3, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 53.3. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is falling at -4.5 points. Dimension coverage is 80%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 55.4; coverage 93%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 61.6; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 76.3; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Social and governance: 53.3; weight 19%; low Education capacity 11; high Border security 78.
- Economic capacity: 57.9; weight 17%; low Trade policy resilience 48; high Financial-system exposure 61.
- Recovery capacity: 61.6; weight 25%; low Import concentration 16; high Liquid-reserve adequacy 100.
- Health, food and water: 65.8; weight 13%; low Health and public services 46; high Food and water security 90.
- Infrastructure: 77; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 41; high Cyber and digital capacity 97.
- Energy security: 88; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 88.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 11 | 100% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 16 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 41 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 41 | 50% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 46 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 48 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 53 | 100% | Stale |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 56 | 70% | Stale |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 59 | 100% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 60 | 85% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 60 | 80% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 60 | 100% | Stale |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 61 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 74 | 70% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 78 | 100% | Stale |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 88 | 90% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 90 | 82% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 97 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 99 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: India (50), Honduras (49.7), Cambodia (50.5), Turkmenistan (49.6). Comparisons in South Asia: India (50), Sri Lanka (48.8), Maldives (51.7), Bhutan (54.5), Bangladesh (40.8). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Nepal is outside the fixed coverage of the 4 crawlable crisis trackers. This marks a registry boundary, not an absence of risk.
Reading limits
August 29, 2026; method pillar-combined-penalized-v1. Top domain: Energy security, 88. Weak pillars reduce the result; compare with coverage and imputation visible.
Questions about Nepal
What is Nepal's resilience score?
Nepal scores 49.9 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #107 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Nepal?
Structural readiness is lowest at 55.4, followed by Recovery capacity at 61.6. Their evidence coverage is 93% and 63%.
Is Nepal's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is falling, with a change of -4.5 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.