South Africa resilience analysis
South Africa ranks #114 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 48.2 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 58.8, with live shock exposure next at 59.5. Structural readiness is strongest at 63.1, while Infrastructure is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 53.7. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +0 points. Dimension coverage is 85%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Recovery capacity: 58.8; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 59.5; coverage 94%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Structural readiness: 63.1; coverage 93%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
Six-domain profile
- Infrastructure: 53.7; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 16; high Cyber and digital capacity 95.
- Health, food and water: 55.6; weight 13%; low Health and public services 47; high Food and water security 66.
- Recovery capacity: 58.8; weight 25%; low State continuity 34; high Import concentration 85.
- Social and governance: 60.4; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 48; high Information environment 75.
- Economic capacity: 65.9; weight 17%; low Macro-fiscal position 55; high Currency and external balance 78.
- Energy security: 73; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 73.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 16 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 34 | 100% | Stale |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 47 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 47 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 48 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 50 | 100% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 52 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 53 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 55 | 100% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 57 | 100% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 57 | 92% | Stale |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 66 | 82% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 69 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 72 | 100% | Stale |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 73 | 90% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 75 | 55% | Stale |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 76 | 100% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 78 | 85% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 85 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 95 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Namibia (48.4), Bahamas (48.2), Egypt (48.7), Comoros (47.7). Comparisons in sub-Saharan Africa: Namibia (48.4), Comoros (47.7), Ghana (48.9), Zambia (47.5), Gambia (47.1). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
South Africa is outside the fixed coverage of the 4 crawlable crisis trackers. This marks a registry boundary, not an absence of risk.
Reading limits
August 29, 2026; method pillar-combined-penalized-v1. Top domain: Energy security, 73. Weak pillars reduce the result; compare with coverage and imputation visible.
Questions about South Africa
What is South Africa's resilience score?
South Africa scores 48.2 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #114 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for South Africa?
Recovery capacity is lowest at 58.8, followed by Live shock exposure at 59.5. Their evidence coverage is 63% and 94%.
Is South Africa's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +0 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.