Turkey resilience analysis
Turkey ranks #125 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 45.1 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 52.1, with recovery capacity next at 58.5. Live shock exposure is strongest at 68.2, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 48.9. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -1.3 points. Dimension coverage is 79%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 52.1; coverage 93%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 58.5; coverage 58%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 68.2; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Social and governance: 48.9; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 38; high Border security 68.
- Economic capacity: 55.4; weight 17%; low Currency and external balance 28; high Trade policy resilience 91.
- Recovery capacity: 58.5; weight 25%; low Liquid-reserve adequacy 34; high Import concentration 89.
- Infrastructure: 66.3; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 31; high Core infrastructure 79.
- Energy security: 68; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 68.
- Health, food and water: 70.2; weight 13%; low Health and public services 67; high Food and water security 74.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 28 | 85% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 31 | 50% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 34 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 38 | 100% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 39 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 41 | 100% | Stale |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 43 | 92% | Stale |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 52 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 53 | 55% | Stale |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 59 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 59 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 67 | 65% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 67 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 68 | 100% | Stale |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 68 | 90% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 74 | 82% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 75 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 79 | 70% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 89 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 91 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Bolivia (46), Libya (45), Mauritania (46.2), Lebanon (45). Comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Lebanon (45), Libya (45), Bahrain (46.3), Djibouti (43.6), Tunisia (43.5). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Turkey is outside the fixed coverage of the 4 crawlable crisis trackers. This marks a registry boundary, not an absence of risk.
Reading limits
August 29, 2026; method pillar-combined-penalized-v1. Top domain: Health, food and water, 70.2. Weak pillars reduce the result; compare with coverage and imputation visible.
Questions about Turkey
What is Turkey's Country Instability Index?
Turkey's Country Instability Index is 60/100 (Elevated), down 10 points over approximately 24 hours, as of Sep 3, 2026, 6:20 AM UTC.
What is Turkey's resilience score?
Turkey scores 45.1 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #125 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Turkey?
Structural readiness is lowest at 52.1, followed by Recovery capacity at 58.5. Their evidence coverage is 93% and 58%.
Is Turkey's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -1.3 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.