Ukraine resilience analysis
Ukraine ranks #128 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 44.9 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 50.4, with recovery capacity next at 53.4. Live shock exposure is strongest at 74.9, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 39. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -1.5 points. Dimension coverage is 81%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 50.4; coverage 94%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 53.4; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 74.9; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Social and governance: 39; weight 19%; low Border security 18; high Education capacity 76.
- Recovery capacity: 53.4; weight 25%; low State continuity 21; high Import concentration 89.
- Infrastructure: 59.1; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 31; high Core infrastructure 75.
- Economic capacity: 62.7; weight 17%; low Currency and external balance 56; high Trade policy resilience 81.
- Health, food and water: 81.2; weight 13%; low Health and public services 74; high Food and water security 90.
- Energy security: 85; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 85.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border security | Social and governance | 18 | 100% | Stale |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 21 | 100% | Stale |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 26 | 92% | Stale |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 28 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 31 | 50% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 37 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 41 | 100% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 56 | 85% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 57 | 70% | Stale |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 59 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 61 | 95% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 62 | 100% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 74 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 75 | 70% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 76 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 81 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 84 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 85 | 90% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 89 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 90 | 82% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Lebanon (45), Botswana (44.6), Libya (45), Rwanda (44.4). Comparisons in Europe: Turkmenistan (49.6), Russia (51.5), Kyrgyzstan (53.5), North Macedonia (53.9), Armenia (54.1). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
The crisis registry links Ukraine to Ukraine war. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.
Reading limits
August 29, 2026; method pillar-combined-penalized-v1. Top domain: Energy security, 85. Weak pillars reduce the result; compare with coverage and imputation visible.
Questions about Ukraine
What is Ukraine's Country Instability Index?
Ukraine's Country Instability Index is 98/100 (Critical), up 12 points over approximately 24 hours, as of Sep 3, 2026, 6:20 AM UTC.
What is Ukraine's resilience score?
Ukraine scores 44.9 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #128 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Ukraine?
Structural readiness is lowest at 50.4, followed by Recovery capacity at 53.4. Their evidence coverage is 94% and 63%.
Is Ukraine's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -1.5 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.