Iran resilience analysis
Iran ranks #162 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 34.5 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 38.9, with recovery capacity next at 41.4. Live shock exposure is strongest at 67.9, while Economic capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 35.7. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +0.1 points. Dimension coverage is 71%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 38.9; coverage 90%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 41.4; coverage 41%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 67.9; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Economic capacity: 35.7; weight 17%; low Currency and external balance 0; high Trade policy resilience 100.
- Recovery capacity: 41.4; weight 25%; low State continuity 17; high Import concentration 64.
- Social and governance: 41.8; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 24; high Border security 63.
- Health, food and water: 65.5; weight 13%; low Food and water security 60; high Health and public services 70.
- Infrastructure: 68.5; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 31; high Cyber and digital capacity 80.
- Energy security: 70; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 70.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 0 | 85% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 15 | 76% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 17 | 100% | Stale |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 24 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 27 | 55% | Stale |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 31 | 50% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 41 | 65% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 42 | 95% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 44 | 100% | Stale |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 47 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 60 | 82% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 63 | 100% | Stale |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 64 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 70 | 90% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 70 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 79 | 70% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 80 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Chad (35.7), Afghanistan (34), Burkina Faso (36.5), Niger (33.8). Comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Iraq, Yemen (29.6), Tunisia (43.5), Djibouti (43.6), Syria. Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
The crisis registry links Iran to Iran–Israel escalation. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.
Reading limits
August 29, 2026; method pillar-combined-penalized-v1. Top domain: Energy security, 70. Weak pillars reduce the result; compare with coverage and imputation visible.
Questions about Iran
What is Iran's Country Instability Index?
Iran's Country Instability Index is 63/100 (Elevated), stable or unavailable over approximately 24 hours, as of Sep 3, 2026, 6:20 AM UTC.
What is Iran's resilience score?
Iran scores 34.5 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #162 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Iran?
Structural readiness is lowest at 38.9, followed by Recovery capacity at 41.4. Their evidence coverage is 90% and 41%.
Is Iran's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +0.1 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.