Afghanistan resilience analysis
Afghanistan ranks #163 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 34 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 37, with structural readiness next at 49.5. Live shock exposure is strongest at 58.8, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 16. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +0 points. Dimension coverage is 69%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Recovery capacity: 37; coverage 36%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Structural readiness: 49.5; coverage 90%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Live shock exposure: 58.8; coverage 81%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Health, food and water: 16; weight 13%; low Health and public services 10; high Food and water security 22.
- Recovery capacity: 37; weight 25%; low State continuity 7; high Fiscal space 62.
- Social and governance: 38.1; weight 19%; low Education capacity 6; high Border security 75.
- Economic capacity: 62; weight 17%; low Macro-fiscal position 43; high Trade policy resilience 100.
- Infrastructure: 81.4; weight 15%; low Core infrastructure 70; high Logistics and supply chains 100.
- Energy security: 99; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 99.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 6 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 7 | 100% | Stale |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 10 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 13 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 22 | 100% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 28 | 92% | Stale |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 43 | 80% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 58 | 100% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 60 | 85% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 62 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 63 | 55% | Stale |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 70 | 70% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 75 | 100% | Stale |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 80 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 99 | 70% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 100 | 50% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Iran (34.5), Niger (33.8), Chad (35.7), Venezuela (33.7). Comparisons in South Asia: Bangladesh (40.8), Pakistan (40.8), Sri Lanka (48.8), Nepal (49.9), India (50). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Afghanistan is outside the fixed coverage of the 4 crawlable crisis trackers. This marks a registry boundary, not an absence of risk.
Reading limits
August 29, 2026; method pillar-combined-penalized-v1. Top domain: Energy security, 99. Weak pillars reduce the result; compare with coverage and imputation visible.
Questions about Afghanistan
What is Afghanistan's Country Instability Index?
Afghanistan's Country Instability Index is 60/100 (Elevated), stable or unavailable over approximately 24 hours, as of Sep 3, 2026, 6:20 AM UTC.
What is Afghanistan's resilience score?
Afghanistan scores 34 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #163 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Afghanistan?
Recovery capacity is lowest at 37, followed by Structural readiness at 49.5. Their evidence coverage is 36% and 90%.
Is Afghanistan's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +0 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.